Lincoln vs Birmingham prediction & odds
Lincoln host Birmingham in the Championship (round 13) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Lincoln are #298 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5; Birmingham are #226 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model sees Lincoln v Birmingham as close to a coin flip: Lincoln 37%, a draw 30%, Birmingham 33%.
Rating: 1170
Chance to win: 37%
Last 5: WDLLL
Rating: 1211
Chance to win: 33%
Last 5: LWWWD
Who will win Lincoln vs Birmingham?
Lincoln are #298 and Birmingham #226 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Lincoln (37%). More from the Championship.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-08 | Birmingham v Lincoln | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-11 | Birmingham v Lincoln | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Lincoln v Birmingham | 1-3 |
Birmingham have won the last 3 meetings.
Championship table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 25 | #167 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 23 | #238 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 22 | #44 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 20 | #97 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 20 | #226 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 20 | #331 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 15 | #511 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 15 | #298 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 14 | #510 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |