Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction & odds
Liverpool host Arsenal in the Premier League (round 9) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Liverpool are #7 in our world ranking and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5; Arsenal are #2 and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model makes Arsenal the favourites at 46%, with a draw at 27% and Liverpool at 27%.
Rating: 1674
Chance to win: 27%
Last 5: DWWWW
Rating: 1824
Chance to win: 46%
Last 5: DWDWW
Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Liverpool are #7 and Arsenal #2 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Arsenal (46%). More from the Premier League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | Arsenal v Liverpool | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Liverpool v Arsenal | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Liverpool v Arsenal | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-27 | Arsenal v Liverpool | 2-2 |
| 2024-02-04 | Arsenal v Liverpool | 3-1 |
Premier League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 8 | 21 | #3 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 21 | #2 |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 16 | #9 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 15 | #7 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 13 | #16 |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 11 | #17 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 |  Manchester United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |