Liverpool vs Chelsea: result and our prediction
Liverpool host Chelsea in the League Cup (Round of 16) on Wednesday 28 October 2026. Liverpool are #7 in our world ranking and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5; Chelsea are #16 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model makes Liverpool the favourites at 53%, with a draw at 25% and Chelsea at 22%.
Rating: 1674
Chance to win: 53%
Last 5: DWWWW
Rating: 1586
Chance to win: 22%
Last 5: DLWWL
Who will win Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Liverpool are #7 and Chelsea #16 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Liverpool (53%). More from the Premier League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Liverpool v Chelsea | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Liverpool v Chelsea | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Chelsea v Liverpool | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Chelsea v Liverpool | 3-1 |
| 2024-10-20 | Liverpool v Chelsea | 2-1 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.