Our model makes Monaco the favourites at 45%, with a draw at 28% and Lorient at 27%.
Lorient are #89 and Monaco #36 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Monaco (45%). More from the Ligue 1.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | Monaco v Lorient | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-27 | Lorient v Monaco | 3-1 |
| 2024-03-17 | Monaco v Lorient | 2-2 |
| 2023-09-17 | Lorient v Monaco | 2-2 |
| 2023-04-16 | Monaco v Lorient | 3-1 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 14 | #36 |
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 13 | #47 |
| 3 | Rennes | 6 | 13 | #46 |
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 11 | #42 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 6 | 11 | #67 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 11 | #5 |
| 7 | Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 8 | #110 |
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 8 | #89 |
| 9 | Nice | 6 | 8 | #122 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 7 | #30 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.