Lugo vs Mirandes prediction & odds
Lugo host Mirandes in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 12) on Sunday 15 November 2026. Lugo are #700 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Mirandes are #532 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 168 places - in Mirandes's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Lugo v Mirandes as close to a coin flip: Lugo 36%, a draw 30%, Mirandes 34%.
Rating: 1032
Chance to win: 36%
Last 5: LWWWW
Rating: 1080
Chance to win: 34%
Last 5: WDWLD
Who will win Lugo vs Mirandes?
Lugo are #700 and Mirandes #532 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Lugo (36%). More from the Primera División RFEF.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-06 | Lugo v Mirandes | 2-0 |
| 2023-01-15 | Mirandes v Lugo | 2-0 |
| 2022-10-30 | Lugo v Mirandes | 0-0 |
| 2022-01-09 | Lugo v Mirandes | 2-1 |
| 2021-12-16 | Lugo v Mirandes | 1-2 |
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 9 | 22 | #700 |
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 10 | 20 | #659 |
| 3 | Mirandes | 10 | 17 | #532 |
| 4 | Racing Ferrol | 10 | 17 | #953 |
| 5 | Athletic Club II | 10 | 15 | #1000 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lugo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 |  UD Logroñés | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Mirandes | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 |  Racing Ferrol | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 |  Athletic Club II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 |  Pontevedra | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 |  Cacereño | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Real Avilés | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 |
| 9 |  Ponferradina | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 |  Extremadura 1924 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 11 |  Mérida AD | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Real Unión | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 15 |  Barakaldo | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  CD Coria | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 |  UD Ourense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 |  Arenas Getxo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 5 |