Luton vs Doncaster: result and our prediction
Luton host Doncaster in the League One (round 9) on Tuesday 27 October 2026. Luton are #704 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Doncaster are #1,465 and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 761 places - in Luton's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Luton the favourites at 57%, with a draw at 24% and Doncaster at 19%.
Rating: 1032
Chance to win: 57%
Last 5: WWWLW
Rating: 885
Chance to win: 19%
Last 5: LWLLW
Who will win Luton vs Doncaster?
Luton are #704 and Doncaster #1465 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Luton (57%). More from the League One.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Luton v Doncaster | 3-1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Doncaster v Luton | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Luton v Doncaster | 1-0 |
League One table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 12 | 25 | #669 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 13 | 23 | #717 |
| 3 | Oxford United | 11 | 22 | #603 |
| 7 | Cambridge United | 13 | 21 | #1121 |
| 8 | Luton | 12 | 20 | #704 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wednesday | 12 | 19 | #1176 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 13 | #2369 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 12 | 12 | #1465 |
| 19 | Notts County | 11 | 11 | #1480 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Bradford | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 22 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 |  Reading | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 |  Cambridge United | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 |  Luton | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19 |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 |  Leicester | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Burton Albion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 |  Stevenage | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 14 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Wycombe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 |  Leyton Orient | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
| 17 |  AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  Doncaster | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 12 |
| 19 |  Notts County | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 20 |  Blackpool | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 21 |  Peterborough | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 22 |  Bromley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -19 | 9 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
| 24 |  Wigan | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 7 |