Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka prediction & odds
Machida Zelvia host Gamba Osaka in the J1 League (round 13) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Machida Zelvia are #141 in our world ranking and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5; Gamba Osaka are #382 and have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 241 places - in Machida Zelvia's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Machida Zelvia the favourites at 61%, with a draw at 22% and Gamba Osaka at 17%.
Rating: 1296
Chance to win: 61%
Last 5: WDWWW
Rating: 1129
Chance to win: 17%
Last 5: DDWDW
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka?
Machida Zelvia are #141 and Gamba Osaka #382 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Machida Zelvia (61%). More from the J1 League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-20 | Machida Zelvia v Gamba Osaka | 3-1 |
| 2025-04-02 | Gamba Osaka v Machida Zelvia | 0-1 |
J1 League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 27 | #141 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 27 | #184 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 26 | #178 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 12 | #810 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 11 | #382 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 10 | #500 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 |  FC Tokyo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 27 |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 26 |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 |  Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |  Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 7 |