Our model makes Real Sociedad the favourites at 44%, with a draw at 28% and Malaga at 28%.
Malaga are #140 and Real Sociedad #52 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Real Sociedad (44%). More from the La Liga.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-07 | Malaga v Real Sociedad | 0-1 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 24 | #4 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 19 | #15 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 8 | 19 | #28 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 13 | #68 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 13 | #52 |
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | 11 | #64 |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | 4 | #61 |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | 4 | #140 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.