Manchester City vs Brighton: result and our prediction
Manchester City host Brighton in the League Cup (Round of 16) on Wednesday 28 October 2026. Manchester City are #3 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5; Brighton are #9 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model makes Manchester City the favourites at 58%, with a draw at 23% and Brighton at 19%.
Rating: 1783
Chance to win: 58%
Last 5: DLWWL
Rating: 1660
Chance to win: 19%
Last 5: DLDWW
Who will win Manchester City vs Brighton?
Manchester City are #3 and Brighton #9 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Manchester City (58%). More from the Premier League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Manchester City v Brighton | 2-2 |
| 2026-01-07 | Manchester City v Brighton | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Brighton v Manchester City | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Manchester City v Brighton | 2-2 |
| 2024-11-09 | Brighton v Manchester City | 2-1 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.