Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction & odds
Manchester United host Aston Villa in the Premier League (round 10) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Manchester United are #20 in our world ranking and have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Aston Villa are #11 and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model sees Manchester United v Aston Villa as close to a coin flip: Manchester United 33%, a draw 29%, Aston Villa 38%.
Rating: 1567
Chance to win: 33%
Last 5: LLDLD
Rating: 1652
Chance to win: 38%
Last 5: LWWWW
Who will win Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Manchester United are #20 and Aston Villa #11 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Aston Villa (38%). More from the Premier League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Manchester United v Aston Villa | 3-1 |
| 2025-12-21 | Aston Villa v Manchester United | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-25 | Manchester United v Aston Villa | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Aston Villa v Manchester United | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-11 | Aston Villa v Manchester United | 1-2 |
Premier League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 11 | #24 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 11 | #26 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 11 | #11 |
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | 10 | #166 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 10 | #23 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 10 | #105 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 9 | #8 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 9 | #30 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 8 | #37 |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 7 | #20 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 7 | #33 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 6 | #32 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 |  Manchester United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |