Maritimo vs Santa Clara prediction & odds
Maritimo host Santa Clara in the Primeira Liga (round 10) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Maritimo are #454 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5; Santa Clara are #186 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 268 places - in Santa Clara's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Santa Clara the favourites at 45%, with a draw at 28% and Maritimo at 28%.
Rating: 1103
Chance to win: 28%
Last 5: LLWLD
Rating: 1245
Chance to win: 45%
Last 5: LLWDW
Who will win Maritimo vs Santa Clara?
Maritimo are #454 and Santa Clara #186 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Santa Clara (45%). More from the Primeira Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | Maritimo v Santa Clara | 0-0 |
| 2023-12-03 | Santa Clara v Maritimo | 2-1 |
| 2023-02-25 | Maritimo v Santa Clara | 3-1 |
| 2022-09-04 | Santa Clara v Maritimo | 2-1 |
| 2022-04-23 | Santa Clara v Maritimo | 2-2 |
Primeira Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 27 | #27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 22 | #14 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 21 | #22 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 18 | #186 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 17 | #154 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 8 | #220 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 8 | #454 |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 7 | #432 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 2 |