Our model makes Marseille the favourites at 62%, with a draw at 22% and Le Havre at 16%.
Marseille are #61 and Le Havre #206 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Marseille (62%). More from the Ligue 1.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Le Havre v Marseille | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Marseille v Le Havre | 6-2 |
| 2025-05-10 | Le Havre v Marseille | 1-3 |
| 2025-01-05 | Marseille v Le Havre | 5-1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Le Havre v Marseille | 1-2 |
Marseille have won the last 5 meetings.
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 11 | #80 |
| 8 | Lens | 7 | 10 | #33 |
| 9 | Marseille | 7 | 9 | #61 |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 7 | 9 | #109 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 7 | 9 | #81 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 7 | 9 | #115 |
| 13 | Nice | 7 | 8 | #131 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 7 | #65 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 7 | #191 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 6 | #234 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 7 | 4 | #251 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 2 | #206 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.