Metz vs PAU: result and our prediction
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Metz host PAU in the Ligue 2 (round 11) on Friday 30 October 2026. Metz are #414 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; PAU are #498 and have won all of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Metz the favourites at 51%, with a draw at 26% and PAU at 23%.
Metz 51%
Draw 26%PAU 23%
World rank: #414
Rating: 1117
Chance to win: 51%
Last 5: LDWLD
Rating: 1117
Chance to win: 51%
Last 5: LDWLD
World rank: #498
Rating: 1089
Chance to win: 23%
Last 5: WWWWW
Rating: 1089
Chance to win: 23%
Last 5: WWWWW
Who will win Metz vs PAU?
Metz are #414 and PAU #498 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Metz (51%). More from the Ligue 2.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Metz v PAU | 1-3 |
| 2025-04-26 | PAU v Metz | 2-1 |
| 2025-01-04 | Metz v PAU | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-08 | PAU v Metz | 1-1 |
| 2022-10-01 | Metz v PAU | 1-0 |
Ligue 2 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | 25 | #188 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 10 | 21 | #215 |
| 3 | PAU | 11 | 20 | #498 |
| 4 | Nancy | 10 | 19 | #480 |
| 5 | Reims | 10 | 18 | #189 |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 17 | #384 |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | 16 | #330 |
| 8 | Dijon | 11 | 15 | #475 |
| 9 | Metz | 11 | 14 | #414 |
| 10 | Rodez | 11 | 13 | #375 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 11 | 12 | #576 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
Ligue 2
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint Etienne | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 |  PAU | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 |  Nancy | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Reims | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Metz | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 |  Rodez | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |  Guingamp | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |