Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar prediction & odds
Millonarios host Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A (Clausura - 19) on Thursday 12 November 2026. Millonarios are #518 in our world ranking and have won 1 and drawn 4 of their last 5; Alianza Valledupar are #1,146 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 628 places - in Millonarios's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Millonarios the favourites at 60%, with a draw at 23% and Alianza Valledupar at 18%.
Rating: 1084
Chance to win: 60%
Last 5: DWDDD
Rating: 932
Chance to win: 18%
Last 5: LWWDL
Who will win Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar?
Millonarios are #518 and Alianza Valledupar #1146 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Millonarios (60%). More from the Primera A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Alianza Valledupar v Millonarios | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Alianza Valledupar v Millonarios | 3-0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Millonarios v Alianza Valledupar | 2-0 |
Primera A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 28 | #669 |
| 10 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 28 | #974 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 16 | 26 | #518 |
| 12 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26 | #755 |
| 13 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 26 | #840 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 22 | #1272 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22 | #1177 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 21 | #1371 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 18 | #1146 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 19 | 18 | #1744 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 17 | #1393 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 35 |
| 2 |  America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 34 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 |  Bucaramanga | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 28 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 |  Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 26 |
| 7 |  Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 |  Independiente Medellin | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 |  Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 |  Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 20 |
| 12 |  Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 |  Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 |  Junior | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 17 |  Chico | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 16 |
| 18 |  Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Fortaleza FC | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -13 | 12 |
Second half of the season.