Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction & odds
Minnesota United FC host San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer (round 34) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Minnesota United FC are #889 in our world ranking and have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5; San Jose Earthquakes are #782 and have drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 107 places - in San Jose Earthquakes's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees Minnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes as close to a coin flip: Minnesota United FC 39%, a draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 32%.
Rating: 989
Chance to win: 39%
Last 5: WDWDD
Rating: 1014
Chance to win: 32%
Last 5: DLDDD
Who will win Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Minnesota United FC are #889 and San Jose Earthquakes #782 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Minnesota United FC (39%). More from the Major League Soccer.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | San Jose Earthquakes v Minnesota United FC | 1-5 |
| 2026-04-29 | San Jose Earthquakes v Minnesota United FC | 4-2 |
| 2025-07-13 | Minnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes | 4-1 |
| 2025-03-09 | San Jose Earthquakes v Minnesota United FC | 0-1 |
Minnesota United FC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 71 | #263 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 58 | #502 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 32 | 58 | #653 |
| 9 | Charlotte | 32 | 50 | #597 |
| 10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 49 | #782 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 47 | #539 |
| 23 | New York City FC | 32 | 38 | #791 |
| 24 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 38 | #889 |
| 25 | San Diego | 32 | 35 | #931 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 58 |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 |  Houston Dynamo | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 51 |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 49 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 47 |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 43 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 43 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -9 | 41 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -6 | 38 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 |  Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | -42 | 22 |