Montpellier vs Metz prediction & odds
Montpellier host Metz in the Ligue 2 (round 12) on Friday 06 November 2026. Montpellier are #215 in our world ranking and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5; Metz are #414 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 199 places - in Montpellier's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Montpellier the favourites at 54%, with a draw at 25% and Metz at 21%.
Rating: 1220
Chance to win: 54%
Last 5: WWWDW
Rating: 1117
Chance to win: 21%
Last 5: LDWLD
Who will win Montpellier vs Metz?
Montpellier are #215 and Metz #414 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Montpellier (54%). More from the Ligue 2.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | Metz v Montpellier | 0-4 |
| 2024-02-18 | Montpellier v Metz | 3-0 |
| 2023-12-17 | Metz v Montpellier | 0-1 |
| 2022-05-01 | Montpellier v Metz | 2-2 |
| 2021-12-01 | Metz v Montpellier | 1-3 |
Ligue 2 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | 25 | #188 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 10 | 21 | #215 |
| 3 | PAU | 11 | 20 | #498 |
| 4 | Nancy | 10 | 19 | #480 |
| 5 | Reims | 10 | 18 | #189 |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 17 | #384 |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | 16 | #330 |
| 8 | Dijon | 11 | 15 | #475 |
| 9 | Metz | 11 | 14 | #414 |
| 10 | Rodez | 11 | 13 | #375 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 11 | 12 | #576 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint Etienne | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 |  PAU | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 |  Nancy | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Reims | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Metz | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 |  Rodez | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |  Guingamp | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |