Monza vs Atalanta prediction & odds
Monza host Atalanta in the Serie A (round 11) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Monza are #169 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Atalanta are #53 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 116 places - in Atalanta's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Atalanta the favourites at 48%, with a draw at 27% and Monza at 25%.
Rating: 1260
Chance to win: 25%
Last 5: LLWLW
Rating: 1431
Chance to win: 48%
Last 5: DDLLW
Who will win Monza vs Atalanta?
Monza are #169 and Atalanta #53 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Atalanta (48%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-04 | Monza v Atalanta | 0-4 |
| 2024-10-30 | Atalanta v Monza | 2-0 |
| 2024-04-21 | Monza v Atalanta | 1-2 |
| 2023-09-02 | Atalanta v Monza | 3-0 |
| 2023-06-04 | Atalanta v Monza | 5-2 |
Atalanta have won the last 5 meetings.
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cagliari | 9 | 13 | #139 |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 11 | #56 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 9 | 11 | #53 |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 10 | #111 |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 9 | #171 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 8 | #120 |
| 16 | Monza | 9 | 7 | #169 |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 5 | #134 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 9 | 5 | #106 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 |  Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 |  Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 |  Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 |  Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 19 |  Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 3 |