Monza vs Napoli: result and our prediction
Monza host Napoli in the Serie A (round 9) on Wednesday 28 October 2026. Monza are #168 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Napoli are #31 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 137 places - in Napoli's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Napoli the favourites at 54%, with a draw at 25% and Monza at 21%.
Rating: 1260
Chance to win: 21%
Last 5: LLWLW
Rating: 1509
Chance to win: 54%
Last 5: WDWLL
Who will win Monza vs Napoli?
Monza are #168 and Napoli #31 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Napoli (54%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Monza v Napoli | 1-4 |
| 2025-04-19 | Monza v Napoli | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-29 | Napoli v Monza | 2-0 |
| 2024-04-07 | Monza v Napoli | 2-4 |
| 2023-12-29 | Napoli v Monza | 0-0 |
Serie A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 25 | #10 |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 25 | #36 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 21 | #19 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 17 | #68 |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 14 | #31 |
| 8 | Juventus | 9 | 14 | #44 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 8 | #121 |
| 16 | Monza | 9 | 7 | #168 |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 5 | #135 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 |  Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 |  Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 |  Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 |  Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 19 |  Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -13 | 3 |