MVV vs Excelsior: result and our prediction
MVV host Excelsior in the KNVB Beker (Round of 64) on Wednesday 28 October 2026. MVV are #2,138 in our world ranking and have drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Excelsior are #345 and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,793 places - in Excelsior's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Excelsior the favourites at 66%, with a draw at 20% and MVV at 14%.
Rating: 802
Chance to win: 14%
Last 5: LDLLL
Rating: 1145
Chance to win: 66%
Last 5: WLLLD
Who will win MVV vs Excelsior?
MVV are #2138 and Excelsior #345 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Excelsior (66%). More from the Eerste Divisie.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | MVV v Excelsior | 0-3 |
| 2025-04-04 | MVV v Excelsior | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-18 | Excelsior v MVV | 3-2 |
| 2022-10-19 | Excelsior v MVV | 5-1 |
| 2022-04-15 | MVV v Excelsior | 1-1 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.