Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz prediction & odds
Neftchi Baku host Kapaz in the Premyer Liqa (round 11) on Friday 06 November 2026. Neftchi Baku are #349 in our world ranking and have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5; Kapaz are #1,465 and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,116 places - in Neftchi Baku's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Neftchi Baku the favourites at 71%, with a draw at 18% and Kapaz at 11%.
Rating: 1143
Chance to win: 71%
Last 5: DDDWW
Rating: 882
Chance to win: 11%
Last 5: WWDWD
Who will win Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz?
Neftchi Baku are #349 and Kapaz #1465 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Neftchi Baku (71%). More from the Premyer Liqa.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Kapaz v Neftchi Baku | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Kapaz v Neftchi Baku | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-01 | Neftchi Baku v Kapaz | 5-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Neftchi Baku v Kapaz | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-05 | Kapaz v Neftchi Baku | 1-0 |
Premyer Liqa table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabah FA | 9 | 20 | #136 |
| 2 | Neftchi Baku | 9 | 18 | #349 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 8 | 18 | #193 |
| 4 | Turan | 10 | 18 | #561 |
| 5 | Zira | 9 | 15 | #546 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 8 | 14 | #1465 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 9 | 13 | #1044 |
| 8 | Imisli FK | 9 | 10 | #1333 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
