Neftchi vs Olmaliq prediction & odds
Neftchi host Olmaliq in the Super League (round 27) on Sunday 08 November 2026. Neftchi are #645 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Olmaliq are #1,183 and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 538 places - in Neftchi's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Neftchi the favourites at 56%, with a draw at 24% and Olmaliq at 20%.
Rating: 1050
Chance to win: 56%
Last 5: LWLWL
Rating: 926
Chance to win: 20%
Last 5: WWWDW
Who will win Neftchi vs Olmaliq?
Neftchi are #645 and Olmaliq #1183 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Neftchi (56%). More from the Super League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Olmaliq v Neftchi | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Neftchi v Olmaliq | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-19 | Olmaliq v Neftchi | 2-2 |
Super League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi | 25 | 58 | #645 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 26 | 56 | #600 |
| 3 | Navbahor | 25 | 49 | #885 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 26 | 42 | #1396 |
| 5 | Olmaliq | 25 | 42 | #1183 |
| 6 | Nasaf | 25 | 41 | #1041 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv | 25 | 40 | #1160 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 58 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 |  Buxoro | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 42 |
| 5 |  Olmaliq | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 |  Nasaf | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 41 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 40 |
| 8 |  Qizilqum | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 |  Andijan | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 |  Sogdiana | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -7 | 30 |
| 12 |  Surkhon | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 |  Bunyodkor | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |  Kokand-1912 | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 24 |
| 15 |  Xorazm | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -16 | 23 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 25 | 1 | 1 | 23 | -38 | 4 |