New York City FC vs CF Montreal prediction & odds
New York City FC host CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer (round 33) on Saturday 31 October 2026. New York City FC are #791 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; CF Montreal are #1,416 and have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 625 places - in New York City FC's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes New York City FC the favourites at 56%, with a draw at 24% and CF Montreal at 20%.
Rating: 1011
Chance to win: 56%
Last 5: WDDLL
Rating: 888
Chance to win: 20%
Last 5: LLDDL
Who will win New York City FC vs CF Montreal?
New York City FC are #791 and CF Montreal #1416 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is New York City FC (56%). More from the Major League Soccer.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | CF Montreal v New York City FC | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-28 | CF Montreal v New York City FC | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-10 | New York City FC v CF Montreal | 0-1 |
CF Montreal have won the last 3 meetings.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Toronto FC | 32 | 39 | #916 |
| 22 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 39 | #1079 |
| 23 | New York City FC | 32 | 38 | #791 |
| 24 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 38 | #889 |
| 25 | San Diego | 32 | 35 | #931 |
| 26 | Austin | 32 | 34 | #983 |
| 27 | DC United | 32 | 33 | #1546 |
| 28 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 30 | #1322 |
| 29 | CF Montreal | 32 | 25 | #1416 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 22 | #1970 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 43 | 71 |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 58 |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 52 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 50 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | -12 | 43 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 43 |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 41 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | -16 | 39 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 38 |
| 13 |  DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | -18 | 33 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -30 | 25 |