Our model sees Newcastle v Aston Villa as close to a coin flip: Newcastle 37%, a draw 29%, Aston Villa 33%.
Newcastle are #20 and Aston Villa #12 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Newcastle (37%). More from the Premier League.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Aston Villa v Newcastle | 1-3 |
| 2026-01-25 | Newcastle v Aston Villa | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Aston Villa v Newcastle | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Aston Villa v Newcastle | 4-1 |
| 2024-12-26 | Newcastle v Aston Villa | 3-0 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hull City | 6 | 9 | #168 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 6 | 9 | #112 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 5 | 8 | #20 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 7 | #31 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 6 | #13 |
| 14 | Nottingham Forest | 6 | 5 | #38 |
| 15 | Aston Villa | 6 | 5 | #12 |
| 16 | Sunderland | 6 | 4 | #51 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 6 | 3 | #18 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.