Newcastle vs Everton prediction & odds
Newcastle host Everton in the Premier League (round 9) on Monday 02 November 2026. Newcastle are #26 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Everton are #23 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model sees Newcastle v Everton as close to a coin flip: Newcastle 40%, a draw 29%, Everton 31%.
Rating: 1541
Chance to win: 40%
Last 5: LWLLW
Rating: 1556
Chance to win: 31%
Last 5: WLLDW
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
Newcastle are #26 and Everton #23 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Newcastle (40%). More from the Premier League.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Everton v Newcastle | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Newcastle v Everton | 2-3 |
| 2025-11-29 | Everton v Newcastle | 1-4 |
| 2025-05-25 | Newcastle v Everton | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-05 | Everton v Newcastle | 0-0 |
Premier League table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 11 | #17 |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 11 | #24 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 11 | #26 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 11 | #11 |
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | 10 | #166 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 10 | #23 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 10 | #105 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 9 | #8 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 |  Manchester United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |