Norwich vs Watford prediction & odds
Norwich host Watford in the Championship (round 13) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Norwich are #303 in our world ranking and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Watford are #887 and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 584 places - in Norwich's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Norwich the favourites at 62%, with a draw at 22% and Watford at 16%.
Rating: 1166
Chance to win: 62%
Last 5: WLLLL
Rating: 989
Chance to win: 16%
Last 5: LWLLL
Who will win Norwich vs Watford?
Norwich are #303 and Watford #887 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Norwich (62%). More from the Championship.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Norwich v Watford | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Watford v Norwich | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-12 | Watford v Norwich | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-01 | Watford v Norwich | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-21 | Norwich v Watford | 4-1 |
Championship table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 14 | #641 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 14 | #719 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 12 | #303 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 11 | #887 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 8 | #275 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 7 | #538 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |