Ogre United vs Riga prediction & odds
Ogre United host Riga in the Virsliga (round 35) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Ogre United are #3,169 in our world ranking and have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5; Riga are #272 and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 2,897 places - in Riga's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Riga the favourites at 86%, with a draw at 10% and Ogre United at 4%.
Rating: 606
Chance to win: 4%
Last 5: LLLWL
Rating: 1186
Chance to win: 86%
Last 5: WDWDW
Who will win Ogre United vs Riga?
Ogre United are #3169 and Riga #272 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Riga (86%). More from the Virsliga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Riga v Ogre United | 4-1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Ogre United v Riga | 1-4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Riga v Ogre United | 4-0 |
Riga have won the last 3 meetings.
Virsliga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 34 | 86 | #443 |
| 2 | Riga | 34 | 82 | #272 |
| 3 | Auda | 34 | 67 | #994 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 34 | 48 | #1793 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 34 | 47 | #1844 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 34 | 38 | #2708 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 34 | 32 | #2849 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 34 | 29 | #3037 |
| 9 | Tukums | 34 | 25 | #3110 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 34 | 18 | #3169 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rīgas FS | 34 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 60 | 86 |
| 2 |  Riga | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 62 | 82 |
| 3 |  Auda | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 67 |
| 4 |  BFC Daugavpils | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 48 |
| 5 |  FK Liepaja | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 47 |
| 6 |  Super Nova | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | -18 | 38 |
| 7 |  FS Jelgava | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 | 32 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -34 | 29 |
| 9 |  Tukums | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -21 | 25 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | -51 | 18 |