Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar: result and our prediction
Once Caldas host Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A (Clausura - 5) on Wednesday 28 October 2026. Once Caldas are #645 in our world ranking and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5; Alianza Valledupar are #1,164 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 519 places - in Once Caldas's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Once Caldas the favourites at 54%, with a draw at 25% and Alianza Valledupar at 21%.
Rating: 1051
Chance to win: 54%
Last 5: WDDWW
Rating: 932
Chance to win: 21%
Last 5: LWWDL
Who will win Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?
Once Caldas are #645 and Alianza Valledupar #1164 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Once Caldas (54%). More from the Primera A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar | 1-0 |
| 2026-09-10 | Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Alianza Valledupar v Once Caldas | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-15 | Alianza Valledupar v Once Caldas | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar | 1-2 |
Primera A table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 40 | #254 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 35 | #749 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 34 | #1326 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 33 | #370 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 33 | #645 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 31 | #852 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 21 | #1396 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 18 | #1164 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 19 | 18 | #1716 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 |  America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 31 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 |  Santa Fe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 |  Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 26 |
| 6 |  Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 25 |
| 7 |  Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 |  Independiente Medellin | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 |  Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 |  Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 |  Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 20 |
| 12 |  Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 |  Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 18 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Junior | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 16 |  Chico | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 |  Jaguares | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -11 | 13 |
| 19 |  Fortaleza FC | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -12 | 12 |
Second half of the season.