Orlando City SC vs New York City FC: result and our prediction
Orlando City SC host New York City FC in the Major League Soccer (round 31) on Saturday 24 October 2026. Orlando City SC are #687 in our world ranking and have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5; New York City FC are #798 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 111 places - in Orlando City SC's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Orlando City SC the favourites at 46%, with a draw at 27% and New York City FC at 27%.
Rating: 1037
Chance to win: 46%
Last 5: DDWDW
Rating: 1011
Chance to win: 27%
Last 5: WDDLL
Who will win Orlando City SC vs New York City FC?
Orlando City SC are #687 and New York City FC #798 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Orlando City SC (46%). More from the Major League Soccer.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Orlando City SC v New York City FC | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-07 | New York City FC v Orlando City SC | 5-0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Orlando City SC v New York City FC | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-09 | New York City FC v Orlando City SC | 2-1 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 32 | 43 | #705 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 43 | #703 |
| 16 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 43 | #687 |
| 17 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 42 | #813 |
| 18 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 41 | #494 |
| 19 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 41 | #848 |
| 20 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 40 | #824 |
| 21 | Toronto FC | 32 | 39 | #927 |
| 22 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 39 | #1091 |
| 23 | New York City FC | 32 | 38 | #798 |
| 24 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 38 | #899 |
| 25 | San Diego | 32 | 35 | #941 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 43 | 71 |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 58 |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 52 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 50 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | -12 | 43 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 43 |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 41 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | -16 | 39 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 38 |
| 13 |  DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | -18 | 33 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -30 | 25 |