EFL Trophy · Group South - 1

Oxford United vs Cheltenham prediction & odds

Oxford United host Cheltenham in the EFL Trophy (Group South - 1) on Tuesday 10 November 2026. Oxford United are #598 in our world ranking and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5; Cheltenham are #2,757 and have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 2,159 places - in Oxford United's favour.

Our prediction

Our model makes Oxford United the favourites at 79%, with a draw at 14% and Cheltenham at 7%.

Oxford United 79% Draw 14%Cheltenham 7%
World rank: #598
Rating: 1062
Chance to win: 79%
Last 5: WDWDW
World rank: #2757
Rating: 705
Chance to win: 7%
Last 5: WWLDL

Who will win Oxford United vs Cheltenham?

Oxford United are #598 and Cheltenham #2757 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Oxford United (79%). More from the League One.

Head to head

DateMatchScore
2024-03-09Oxford United v Cheltenham2-1
2023-11-25Cheltenham v Oxford United2-0
2023-04-25Oxford United v Cheltenham4-0
2022-08-27Cheltenham v Oxford United1-2
2022-01-01Oxford United v Cheltenham1-1

How this is worked out

Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.