Padova vs Sudtirol: result and our prediction
Padova host Sudtirol in the Serie B (round 9) on Tuesday 27 October 2026. Padova are #577 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Sudtirol are #583 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. Two clubs within a few places of each other in the world ranking.
Our prediction
Our model sees Padova v Sudtirol as close to a coin flip: Padova 38%, a draw 29%, Sudtirol 33%.
Rating: 1070
Chance to win: 38%
Last 5: WWLLL
Rating: 1067
Chance to win: 33%
Last 5: LDLDW
Who will win Padova vs Sudtirol?
Padova are #577 and Sudtirol #583 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Padova (38%). More from the Serie B.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Padova v Sudtirol | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Sudtirol v Padova | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Padova v Sudtirol | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-16 | Sudtirol v Padova | 0-0 |
| 2022-04-06 | Sudtirol v Padova | 0-1 |
Serie B table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Benevento | 9 | 15 | #311 |
| 6 | Pisa | 9 | 15 | #303 |
| 7 | Padova | 9 | 13 | #577 |
| 8 | Sudtirol | 9 | 13 | #583 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 9 | 12 | #286 |
| 10 | Avellino | 9 | 12 | #509 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 |  Modena | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Benevento | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 |  Pisa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Padova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Sudtirol | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Hellas Verona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Cesena | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 |  Virtus Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Arezzo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 |  Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |