Our model makes Pafos the favourites at 57%, with a draw at 22% and Riga at 22%.
Pafos are #160 and Riga #267 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Pafos (57%). More from the 1. Division.
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.