Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr prediction & odds
Pakhtakor host Al-Nassr in the AFC Champions League Elite (round 4) on Monday 02 November 2026. Pakhtakor are #600 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; Al-Nassr are #107 and have won all of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 493 places - in Al-Nassr's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Al-Nassr the favourites at 60%, with a draw at 21% and Pakhtakor at 19%.
Rating: 1062
Chance to win: 19%
Last 5: WLLDD
Rating: 1338
Chance to win: 60%
Last 5: WWWWW
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr?
Pakhtakor are #600 and Al-Nassr #107 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Al-Nassr (60%). More from the Super League.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 |  Esteghlal FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Al Shamal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 |  Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Neftchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 |  Pakhtakor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 |  Tractor Sazi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 |  Al Sadd | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 15 |  Al-Gharafa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |