CONMEBOL Libertadores · Semi-finals · Thu 22 Oct, 00:30 UTC

Palmeiras vs Fluminense
prediction

Our prediction

Our model makes Palmeiras the favourites at 59%, with a draw at 21% and Fluminense at 20%.

Palmeiras 59% Draw 21%Fluminense 20%
World rank: #115
Rating: 1339
Chance to win: 59%
Last 5: WWDLW
World rank: #209
Rating: 1234
Chance to win: 20%
Last 5: LWWLL

Who will win Palmeiras vs Fluminense?

Palmeiras are #115 and Fluminense #209 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Palmeiras (59%). More from the Serie A.

Head to head

DateMatchScore
2026-08-15Fluminense v Palmeiras3-2
2026-02-26Palmeiras v Fluminense2-1
2025-11-23Palmeiras v Fluminense0-0
2025-07-23Fluminense v Palmeiras1-2

How this is worked out

Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.