Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama prediction & odds
Palmeiras host Vasco DA Gama in the Copa Do Brasil (Semi-finals) on Sunday 01 November 2026. Palmeiras are #112 in our world ranking and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5; Vasco DA Gama are #276 and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 164 places - in Palmeiras's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Palmeiras the favourites at 59%, with a draw at 23% and Vasco DA Gama at 18%.
Rating: 1333
Chance to win: 59%
Last 5: DWLWW
Rating: 1184
Chance to win: 18%
Last 5: LWLLW
Who will win Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
Palmeiras are #112 and Vasco DA Gama #276 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Palmeiras (59%). More from the Serie A.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Palmeiras v Vasco DA Gama | 4-1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-01 | Palmeiras v Vasco DA Gama | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-04 | Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras | 0-1 |
Palmeiras have won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.