Paredes vs Trofense: result and our prediction
Paredes host Trofense in the Liga 3 (round 7) on Saturday 24 October 2026. Paredes are #566 in our world ranking and have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5; Trofense are #1,629 and have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,063 places - in Paredes's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Paredes the favourites at 64%, with a draw at 21% and Trofense at 15%.
Rating: 1072
Chance to win: 64%
Last 5: WWDWW
Rating: 865
Chance to win: 15%
Last 5: LDLDL
Who will win Paredes vs Trofense?
Paredes are #566 and Trofense #1629 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Paredes (64%). More from the Campeonato de Portugal Prio.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Paredes v Trofense | 4-0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Trofense v Paredes | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Paredes v Trofense | 0-0 |
| 2021-04-11 | Paredes v Trofense | 0-1 |
| 2021-01-10 | Trofense v Paredes | 0-0 |
Liga 3 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 7 | 16 | #566 |
| 2 | CF Os Belenenses | 7 | 17 | #398 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 7 | 11 | #1078 |
| 18 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | 6 | #1163 |
| 19 | Trofense | 7 | 5 | #1629 |
| 20 | Vitória de Sernache | 7 | 4 | #1084 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 |  AD Marco 09 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 3 |  Fafe | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 |  Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 |  São João Ver | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 |  Vianense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |