Our model sees Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona as close to a coin flip: Paris Saint Germain 37%, a draw 24%, Barcelona 39%.
Paris Saint Germain are #5 and Barcelona #4 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Barcelona (39%). More from the Ligue 1.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Barcelona v Paris Saint Germain | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-16 | Barcelona v Paris Saint Germain | 1-4 |
| 2024-04-10 | Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona | 2-3 |
| 2021-03-10 | Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona | 1-1 |
| 2021-02-16 | Barcelona v Paris Saint Germain | 1-4 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.