Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes prediction & odds
Paris Saint Germain host Estac Troyes in the Ligue 1 (round 10) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Paris Saint Germain are #5 in our world ranking and have won all of their last 5; Estac Troyes are #264 and have drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 259 places - in Paris Saint Germain's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourites at 90%, with a draw at 7% and Estac Troyes at 3%.
Rating: 1746
Chance to win: 90%
Last 5: WWWWW
Rating: 1189
Chance to win: 3%
Last 5: DLLLL
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
Paris Saint Germain are #5 and Estac Troyes #264 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Paris Saint Germain (90%). More from the Ligue 1.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-07 | Estac Troyes v Paris Saint Germain | 1-3 |
| 2022-10-29 | Paris Saint Germain v Estac Troyes | 4-3 |
| 2022-05-08 | Paris Saint Germain v Estac Troyes | 2-2 |
| 2021-08-07 | Estac Troyes v Paris Saint Germain | 1-2 |
Ligue 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 20 | #5 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 18 | #52 |
| 3 | Rennes | 9 | 16 | #51 |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 7 | #82 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 8 | 5 | #264 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 2 | #228 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |