Our model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourites at 68%, with a draw at 19% and Lyon at 13%.
Paris Saint Germain are #5 and Lyon #36 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Paris Saint Germain (68%). More from the Ligue 1.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Paris Saint Germain v Lyon | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Lyon v Paris Saint Germain | 2-3 |
| 2025-02-23 | Lyon v Paris Saint Germain | 2-3 |
| 2024-12-15 | Paris Saint Germain v Lyon | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-25 | Lyon v Paris Saint Germain | 1-2 |
Paris Saint Germain have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 14 | #36 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 14 | #5 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 14 | #59 |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 14 | #49 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.