Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon: result and our prediction
Paris Saint Germain host Lyon in the Ligue 1 (round 8) on Monday 26 October 2026. Paris Saint Germain are #5 in our world ranking and have won all of their last 5; Lyon are #49 and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourites at 72%, with a draw at 17% and Lyon at 11%.
Rating: 1743
Chance to win: 72%
Last 5: WWWWW
Rating: 1459
Chance to win: 11%
Last 5: LLWWL
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
Paris Saint Germain are #5 and Lyon #49 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Paris Saint Germain (72%). More from the Ligue 1.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Paris Saint Germain v Lyon | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Paris Saint Germain v Lyon | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Lyon v Paris Saint Germain | 2-3 |
| 2025-02-23 | Lyon v Paris Saint Germain | 2-3 |
| 2024-12-15 | Paris Saint Germain v Lyon | 3-1 |
Paris Saint Germain have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 17 | #5 |
| 2 | Rennes | 8 | 16 | #47 |
| 3 | Lille | 8 | 15 | #57 |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 15 | #38 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 14 | #49 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 14 | #67 |
| 7 | Lens | 8 | 13 | #39 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 |  Rennes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 |  Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 2 |