PAU vs Nantes prediction & odds
PAU host Nantes in the Ligue 2 (round 12) on Friday 06 November 2026. PAU are #498 in our world ranking and have won all of their last 5; Nantes are #352 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 146 places - in Nantes's favour.
Our prediction
Our model sees PAU v Nantes as close to a coin flip: PAU 36%, a draw 30%, Nantes 35%.
Rating: 1089
Chance to win: 36%
Last 5: WWWWW
Rating: 1142
Chance to win: 35%
Last 5: DLLDW
Who will win PAU vs Nantes?
PAU are #498 and Nantes #352 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is PAU (36%). More from the Ligue 2.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-05 | PAU v Nantes | 1-4 |
Ligue 2 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | 25 | #188 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 10 | 21 | #215 |
| 3 | PAU | 11 | 20 | #498 |
| 4 | Nancy | 10 | 19 | #480 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 11 | 10 | #722 |
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 9 | #352 |
| 16 | Laval | 11 | 9 | #772 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint Etienne | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 |  PAU | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 |  Nancy | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Reims | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Metz | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 |  Rodez | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |  Guingamp | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |