Penafiel vs Feirense prediction & odds
Penafiel host Feirense in the Segunda Liga (round 9) on Monday 02 November 2026. Penafiel are #599 in our world ranking and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Feirense are #1,252 and have drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 653 places - in Penafiel's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Penafiel the favourites at 59%, with a draw at 23% and Feirense at 18%.
Rating: 1062
Chance to win: 59%
Last 5: WLLWW
Rating: 915
Chance to win: 18%
Last 5: DLLLL
Who will win Penafiel vs Feirense?
Penafiel are #599 and Feirense #1252 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Penafiel (59%). More from the Segunda Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Feirense v Penafiel | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Penafiel v Feirense | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-19 | Penafiel v Feirense | 1-2 |
| 2024-12-07 | Feirense v Penafiel | 3-0 |
| 2024-01-29 | Penafiel v Feirense | 2-1 |
Feirense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Segunda Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 18 | #553 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 8 | 18 | #715 |
| 3 | Penafiel | 8 | 16 | #599 |
| 4 | Academica | 8 | 15 | #615 |
| 17 | Amarante | 8 | 5 | #968 |
| 18 | Feirense | 8 | 2 | #1252 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 |  Penafiel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Academica | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Farense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Benfica B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  AVS | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tondela | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Vizela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  União de Leiria | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Torreense | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Chaves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  FC Porto B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Amarante | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |