Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa prediction & odds
Penafiel host Lusitânia Lourosa in the Segunda Liga (round 11) on Sunday 15 November 2026. Penafiel are #605 in our world ranking and have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5; Lusitânia Lourosa are #555 and have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5.
Our prediction
Our model sees Penafiel v Lusitânia Lourosa as close to a coin flip: Penafiel 40%, a draw 29%, Lusitânia Lourosa 31%.
Rating: 1062
Chance to win: 40%
Last 5: WLLWW
Rating: 1075
Chance to win: 31%
Last 5: DWDWW
Who will win Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Penafiel are #605 and Lusitânia Lourosa #555 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Penafiel (40%). More from the Segunda Liga.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Penafiel v Lusitânia Lourosa | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Lusitânia Lourosa v Penafiel | 0-0 |
Segunda Liga table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP B | 9 | 21 | #674 |
| 2 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 18 | #555 |
| 3 | Benfica B | 9 | 17 | #632 |
| 4 | Penafiel | 8 | 16 | #605 |
| 5 | Academica | 9 | 15 | #654 |
| 6 | Farense | 8 | 14 | #597 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting CP B | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 |  Benfica B | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 |  Penafiel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 |  Academica | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Farense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 |  União de Leiria | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 |  Vizela | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 |  AVS | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Tondela | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Portimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 12 |  Torreense | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Leixoes | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Amarante | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Chaves | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 |  FC Porto B | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 17 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |