Penarol vs Wanderers prediction & odds
Penarol host Wanderers in the Primera División - Apertura (Clausura - 13) on Saturday 31 October 2026. Penarol are #474 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5; Wanderers are #1,474 and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,000 places - in Penarol's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Penarol the favourites at 66%, with a draw at 20% and Wanderers at 14%.
Rating: 1096
Chance to win: 66%
Last 5: LDLDW
Rating: 880
Chance to win: 14%
Last 5: LLLDW
Who will win Penarol vs Wanderers?
Penarol are #474 and Wanderers #1474 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Penarol (66%). More from the Primera División.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Penarol v Wanderers | 5-1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Wanderers v Penarol | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Penarol v Wanderers | 3-0 |
| 2025-06-22 | Penarol v Wanderers | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Wanderers v Penarol | 1-2 |
Penarol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Primera División - Apertura table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 143 | #474 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 71 | 137 | #505 |
| 3 | Liverpool Montevideo | 71 | 121 | #536 |
| 10 | Cerro | 71 | 83 | #1455 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 71 | 81 | #1474 |
| 12 | Danubio | 71 | 75 | #1104 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Torque | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 |  Club Nacional | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 |  Penarol | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 |  Progreso | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 |  Juventud | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 |  Cerro | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Racing Montevideo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Boston River | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Wanderers | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 |  Albion FC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Danubio | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 |  Cerro Largo | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Defensor Sporting | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 |  Central Espanol | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Second half of the season.