Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya prediction & odds
Persija host Persebaya Surabaya in the Liga 1 (round 9) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Persija are #686 in our world ranking and have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5; Persebaya Surabaya are #1,229 and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 543 places - in Persija's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Persija the favourites at 55%, with a draw at 24% and Persebaya Surabaya at 20%.
Rating: 1033
Chance to win: 55%
Last 5: WWLWW
Rating: 918
Chance to win: 20%
Last 5: DWLDW
Who will win Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Persija are #686 and Persebaya Surabaya #1229 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Persija (55%). More from the Liga 1.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Persija v Persebaya Surabaya | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Persebaya Surabaya v Persija | 1-3 |
Liga 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija | 7 | 18 | #686 |
| 2 | Dewa United | 7 | 14 | #1185 |
| 3 | Bali United | 7 | 13 | #1325 |
| 4 | Persib Bandung | 7 | 13 | #472 |
| 5 | Persebaya Surabaya | 8 | 13 | #1229 |
| 6 | Persepam Madura Utd | 7 | 13 | #1969 |
| 7 | Persita | 6 | 12 | #1848 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Persija | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Dewa United | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 |  Bali United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 |
| 4 |  Persib Bandung | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 |  Persebaya Surabaya | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Persepam Madura Utd | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Persita | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Bhayangkara FC | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Java United | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Persik Kediri | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Arema FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Pusamania Borneo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 |  PSM Makassar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 |  Garudayaksa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 |  PSS Sleman | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Isenmulang Kalteng | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 17 |  PSIM Yogyakarta | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
| 18 |  Persijap | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 2 |