Our model makes Philadelphia Union the favourites at 55%, with a draw at 24% and New England Revolution at 20%.
Philadelphia Union are #383 and New England Revolution #766 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Philadelphia Union (55%). More from the Major League Soccer.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | New England Revolution v Philadelphia Union | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-09 | New England Revolution v Philadelphia Union | 0-2 |
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 30 | 67 | #271 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 55 | #521 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 30 | 55 | #306 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 30 | 52 | #766 |
| 5 | St. Louis City | 30 | 51 | #410 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 31 | 46 | #539 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 46 | #383 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 30 | 42 | #661 |
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.