Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC prediction & odds
Philadelphia Union host Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer (round 34) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Philadelphia Union are #404 in our world ranking and have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5; Toronto FC are #916 and have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 512 places - in Philadelphia Union's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Philadelphia Union the favourites at 58%, with a draw at 23% and Toronto FC at 19%.
Rating: 1120
Chance to win: 58%
Last 5: DLDWW
Rating: 984
Chance to win: 19%
Last 5: WLWDW
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?
Philadelphia Union are #404 and Toronto FC #916 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Philadelphia Union (58%). More from the Major League Soccer.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Toronto FC v Philadelphia Union | 3-3 |
| 2025-08-09 | Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-28 | Toronto FC v Philadelphia Union | 1-2 |
Major League Soccer table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 71 | #263 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 58 | #502 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 32 | 58 | #653 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 47 | #539 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 47 | #404 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 43 | #920 |
| 20 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 40 | #820 |
| 21 | Toronto FC | 32 | 39 | #916 |
| 22 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 39 | #1079 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 43 | 71 |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 58 |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 52 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 50 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | -12 | 43 |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 43 |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 3 | 41 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | -16 | 39 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 38 |
| 13 |  DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | -18 | 33 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -30 | 25 |