Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka prediction & odds
Pohang Steelers host Gamba Osaka in the AFC Champions League Elite (round 4) on Wednesday 04 November 2026. Pohang Steelers are #1,404 in our world ranking and have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; Gamba Osaka are #382 and have won 2 and drawn 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,022 places - in Gamba Osaka's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Gamba Osaka the favourites at 56%, with a draw at 22% and Pohang Steelers at 22%.
Rating: 890
Chance to win: 22%
Last 5: LDDLL
Rating: 1129
Chance to win: 56%
Last 5: DDWDW
Who will win Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka?
Pohang Steelers are #1404 and Gamba Osaka #382 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Gamba Osaka (56%). More from the K League 1.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 | Gamba Osaka v Pohang Steelers | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Pohang Steelers v Gamba Osaka | 1-1 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 |
| 2 |  Vissel Kobe | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Gamba Osaka | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 |  Johor Darul Takzim FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Beijing Guoan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 |  Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Daejeon Citizen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 |  Công An Nhân Dân | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 |  Buriram United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 |  Ratchaburi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 |  Pohang Steelers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| 15 |  Port FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 0 |