Ponferradina vs Barakaldo: result and our prediction
Ponferradina host Barakaldo in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 9) on Saturday 24 October 2026. Ponferradina are #740 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5; Barakaldo are #863 and have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 123 places - in Ponferradina's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Ponferradina the favourites at 47%, with a draw at 27% and Barakaldo at 26%.
Rating: 1023
Chance to win: 47%
Last 5: DDDLW
Rating: 996
Chance to win: 26%
Last 5: DWLDD
Who will win Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?
Ponferradina are #740 and Barakaldo #863 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Ponferradina (47%). More from the Primera División RFEF.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Ponferradina v Barakaldo | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Ponferradina v Barakaldo | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Barakaldo v Ponferradina | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-07 | Ponferradina v Barakaldo | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-17 | Barakaldo v Ponferradina | 0-1 |
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Real Unión | 9 | 13 | #918 |
| 9 | Mérida AD | 9 | 13 | #969 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 9 | 13 | #740 |
| 11 | Athletic Club II | 9 | 12 | #1094 |
| 12 | Zamora | 9 | 12 | #701 |
| 13 | Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 12 | #819 |
| 14 | Real Avilés | 9 | 11 | #1259 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 9 | 10 | #863 |
| 16 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 9 | 10 | #1038 |
| 17 | CD Coria | 9 | 9 | #1393 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lugo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 |  UD Logroñés | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 |  Racing Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Cacereño | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Mirandes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pontevedra | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Extremadura 1924 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 |  Real Unión | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 |  Mérida AD | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Athletic Club II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Real Avilés | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Barakaldo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  CD Coria | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 |  UD Ourense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 |  Arenas Getxo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 5 |