Ponferradina vs Cacereño prediction & odds
Ponferradina host Cacereño in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 12) on Friday 13 November 2026. Ponferradina are #733 in our world ranking and have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5; Cacereño are #962 and have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 229 places - in Ponferradina's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Ponferradina the favourites at 48%, with a draw at 27% and Cacereño at 25%.
Rating: 1023
Chance to win: 48%
Last 5: DDDLW
Rating: 972
Chance to win: 25%
Last 5: WLDLD
Who will win Ponferradina vs Cacereño?
Ponferradina are #733 and Cacereño #962 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Ponferradina (48%). More from the Primera División RFEF.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Cacereño v Ponferradina | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Ponferradina v Cacereño | 2-0 |
| 2021-12-01 | Cacereño v Ponferradina | 1-2 |
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 9 | 20 | #610 |
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 9 | 16 | #951 |
| 4 | Cacereño | 9 | 15 | #962 |
| 5 | Mirandes | 9 | 14 | #588 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 9 | 14 | #877 |
| 7 | Extremadura 1924 | 9 | 13 | #986 |
| 8 | Real Unión | 9 | 13 | #907 |
| 9 | Mérida AD | 9 | 13 | #961 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 9 | 13 | #733 |
| 11 | Athletic Club II | 9 | 12 | #1083 |
| 12 | Zamora | 9 | 12 | #695 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lugo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 |  UD Logroñés | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 |  Racing Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Cacereño | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Mirandes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pontevedra | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Extremadura 1924 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 |  Real Unión | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 |  Mérida AD | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Athletic Club II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Real Avilés | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Barakaldo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  CD Coria | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 |  UD Ourense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 |  Arenas Getxo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 5 |