Pontevedra vs UD Ourense prediction & odds
Pontevedra host UD Ourense in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 11) on Saturday 07 November 2026. Pontevedra are #877 in our world ranking and have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5; UD Ourense are #2,083 and have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. On paper that's a big gap - 1,206 places - in Pontevedra's favour.
Our prediction
Our model makes Pontevedra the favourites at 64%, with a draw at 21% and UD Ourense at 15%.
Rating: 991
Chance to win: 64%
Last 5: LWWLL
Rating: 801
Chance to win: 15%
Last 5: LLLWD
Who will win Pontevedra vs UD Ourense?
Pontevedra are #877 and UD Ourense #2083 in our world ranking of every senior club. Based on the two clubs' ratings and home advantage, the most likely result is Pontevedra (64%). More from the Primera División RFEF.
Head to head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-29 | UD Ourense v Pontevedra | 1-1 |
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table
| # | Club | P | Pts | World |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 9 | 22 | #696 |
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 9 | 20 | #610 |
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 9 | 16 | #951 |
| 5 | Mirandes | 9 | 14 | #588 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 9 | 14 | #877 |
| 7 | Extremadura 1924 | 9 | 13 | #986 |
| 18 | Deportivo La Coruña II | 9 | 8 | #1227 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 9 | 5 | #2083 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 9 | 5 | #1511 |
How this is worked out
Every senior result from every country feeds one Elo rating system, so every club in the world sits on the same scale. Before each match the two ratings, adjusted for home advantage, give the chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. See the full world ranking and every match today.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lugo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 |  UD Logroñés | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 |  Racing Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Cacereño | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Mirandes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pontevedra | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Extremadura 1924 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 |  Real Unión | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 |  Mérida AD | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Athletic Club II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Cultural Leonesa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Real Avilés | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Barakaldo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Unionistas de Salamanca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  CD Coria | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 |  UD Ourense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 |  Arenas Getxo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -15 | 5 |